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High risk Ebola could reach France and UK by end-Oct, scientists calculate

Started by riky, October 06, 2014, 09:00:34 AM

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riky

High risk Ebola could reach France and UK by end-Oct, scientists calculate

LONDON, Oct 5 (Reuters) - Scientists have used Ebola disease spread patterns and airline traffic data to predict a 75 percent chance the virus could be imported to France by October 24, and a 50 percent chance it could hit Britain by that date. Those numbers are based on air traffic remaining at full capacity. Assuming an 80 percent reduction in travel to reflect that many airlines are halting flights to affected regions, France's risk is still 25 percent, and Britain's is 15 percent. ...

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