Fox News: Historian with streak of accurate election forecasts since 1984 falls short after 2024 Trump victory

[riky]

Historian with streak of accurate election forecasts since 1984 falls short after 2024 Trump victory

Historian Allan Lichtman's "keys to the White House" prediction that Vice President Harris would win the 2024 election marks the second time he has made an incorrect prediction since 1984.......                    ...                        ...Historian Allan Lichtman, who predicted nearly every election since 1984, was proved to have the wrong projection this cycle after You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login sailed to victory on Election Day.  ......The Fox News Decision Desk projected Trump would win the presidency in the early hours of Wednesday, after Wisconsin's call for the You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login officially brought him above the magic number of 270 electoral votes needed to secure a win.......Lichtman, an election forecaster who had previously correctly predicted nearly every presidential race since 1984, developed a formula that is used to make predictions about presidential elections. He predicted, after the Democratic National Convention, that Vice President Kamala Harris would win the White House this cycle – but election night results show his prediction was wrong.......Lichtman's "Keys to the White House" consists of 13 true or false questions that he believes establish a strong indication of who will be named the victor on election night. Each question is asked about the two dueling nominees; if "true" they are given a "key," and if "false," their competitor receives the point.......You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login......The "keys" are as follows: party mandate, contest, incumbency, third party, short-term economy, long-term economy, policy change, social unrest, scandal, foreign/military failure, foreign/military success, incumbent charisma and challenger charisma.......You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login......According to Lichtman's prediction, Harris held nine of the 13 keys before Election Day. These included no primary contest, no third party, short-term economy, long-term economy, policy change, no social unrest, no scandal, foreign/military success, and no challenger charisma.......Trump, however, defeated Harris when he secured 277 electoral votes – and counting......."The keys show that You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login is a predicted winner," Lichtman told Fox News Digital ahead of the election.......After Trump was projected to be the 47th president, Lichtman said in a post on X, formerly Twitter, that he was "assessing last night's results."......In a statement shared with Fox News Digital, Lichtman said he will soon be addressing the results....

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